While I think that restaurants with dietary restrictions will always struggle, even in Israel kosher fine dining rarely attracts non-observant patrons.
I live in Jerusalem, and for cheap to mid-range dining, kosher restaurants on average are a little cheaper. The nonobservant crowd that I know goes to a mix of kosher/not kosher midrange places truly based on who has the best experience (food/service/value). However, when you get to fine dining, it is very rare to see nonobservant patrons (unless they're dining with observant patrons). First, the kosher fine dining restaurants (on average) are more expensive than the non-kosher fine dining places. Then, those restaurants have a reputation of having average Israeli service or being just for tourists.
So while I think that dietary restrictions come into play, in Jerusalem you have a far more captive market that's willing to accept kosher dining (whether they keep kosher or not). However, in the fine dining scene there still remains a pretty hard divide between where the observant and nonobservant eat.
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